Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16% on 26 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 16% on 26 Dec 2025 and the low 0.2% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 5% on 27 Dec 2025. $29.52K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 10:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 38 points · 26 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clavicular-in-jail-by-january-31
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| ProbablyPomPom | Yes | 167 |
| 7a7aa | Yes | 150.28 |
| Empty-Bladder | Yes | 113.08 |
| Minecraft | Yes | 111 |
| MasonsConqueredRome | Yes | 100 |
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