Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 40% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 240 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40% on 28 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 9.5% on 29 Oct 2025. $205.1K traded over the market's life.
230 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 240 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 40.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 10.89K |
| toyobro | Yes | 4.96K |
| huyewell | Yes | 2.34K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/claudia-sheinbaum-out-as-president-of-mexico-by-june-30
New to prediction markets?
| Hasty-Phenomenon | Yes | 2.29K |
| Staid-Purse | Yes | 1.12K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1K |
| Neverfeardem5 | Yes | 975.95 |
| Anxious-Window | Yes | 942.02 |
| hgarzav | Yes | 687.49 |
| Prize-Ukulele | Yes | 685.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
