Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6% on 18 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 18 Nov 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 6% on 18 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jan 2026. $43.65K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 18 Nov 2025 – 1 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Staid-Purse | Yes | 2K |
| Virtual-Spring | Yes | 1.61K |
| Cloudy-Sectional | Yes | 555.56 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/claudia-sheinbaum-out-as-president-of-mexico-by-june-30
New to prediction markets?
| Neighboring-Understatement | Yes | 396.12 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 302 |
| Greedy-Scent | Yes | 300 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 242 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 237 |
| KikBarron | Yes | 159.09 |
| Cruanova696 | Yes | 121.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
