Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85.5%. Yes opened at 56% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 12 Apr 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85.5% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 34% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 53.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $100.1K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 5:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 12 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 56.0% |
| 12 Apr 2026 | 85.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| readyplayer6 | No | 4K |
| policestici | No | 2K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 1.74K |
| vzaranee | No | 1.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/claude-4pt7-released-by
| gigimontoya | No | 1K |
| reasoningTokens | No | 516.37 |
| promax18 | No | 420.78 |
| Ta9r | No | 390 |
| laygaga | No | 323.2 |
| heyyy24 | No | 199.94 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
