Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 70% on 19 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 198 daily closes on record from 19 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 87% on 18 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 54% on 26 Jul 2025. $46.62K traded over the market's life.
163 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 198 points, 19 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jun 2025 | 70.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hookdass | Yes | 1.25K |
| GLNO | Yes | 990.57 |
| CryptoVadikOne-tg | Yes | 868.18 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2025
| cryptopoulos | Yes | 496.33 |
| highboi | Yes | 458.07 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| stanzi | Yes | 409.3 |
| EverSupreme7 | Yes | 321.9 |
| Bold Beacon 8BE0 | Yes | 309.83 |
| fensiwo | Yes | 280 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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