Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 155 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73.5% on 4 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 31.5% on 4 Mar 2026. $122.3K traded over the market's life.
139 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 7:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 155 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.5K |
| Albert 1953 | Yes | 7.81K |
| Lixor | Yes | 4.27K |
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cl-settle-jun-2026
| Yes |
| 3.95K |
| amused85 | Yes | 1.27K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 1.05K |
| buyrightbake | Yes | 1.01K |
| SnowBaard | Yes | 951.86 |
| balthazar | Yes | 762.31 |
| Bright Kestrel 05BF | Yes | 600 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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