Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 30 | $0.444 | $2.55 | -$10.77 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 398 | $0.901 | $358.55 | Apr 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 4.68 |
| $0.400 |
| $1.19 |
| -$0.69 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.75 | $0.130 | $0.67 | +$0.18 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.66 | $0.720 | $0.47 | -$0.01 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.93 | $0.308 | $0.46 | +$0.18 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.56 | $0.670 | $0.27 | -$0.1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.35 | $0.279 | $0.04 | -$0.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 0.66 | $0.110 | $0.04 | -$0.04 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? | Yes | 0.37 | $0.200 | $0.02 | -$0.06 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 0.13 | $0.140 | $0 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 400 |
| $0.635 |
| $254.05 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 995 | $0.130 | $129.35 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.81 | $0.017 | $0.27 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 135.77 | $0.201 | $27.29 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 198.98 | $0.016 | $3.18 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Yes | sell | 19.27 | $0.564 | $10.87 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?No | sell | 6.81 | $0.701 | $4.77 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 131.66 | $0.120 | $15.8 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?No | buy | 826 | $0.980 | $809.47 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 726.7 | $0.995 | $722.88 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.910 | $29.12 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.710 | $3.98 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 587 | $0.726 | $426.25 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.650 | $162.5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 100.31 | $0.710 | $71.22 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 634 | $0.694 | $440.27 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.300 | $120 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.736 | $294.26 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 276.09 | $0.780 | $215.35 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.669 | $267.59 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 346.66 | $0.220 | $76.27 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | sell | 179.79 | $0.810 | $145.63 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | sell | 332.77 | $0.957 | $318.37 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 26, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.788 | $149.8 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Yes | sell | 7.32 | $0.970 | $7.1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 133 | $0.860 | $114.38 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.781 | $160.15 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 199 | $0.790 | $157.21 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.85 | $0.570 | $10.17 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?No | buy | 150 | $0.213 | $31.97 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?No | buy | 90.44 | $0.190 | $17.18 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?No | buy | 159.55 | $0.212 | $33.84 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.880 | $7.92 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.994 | $3.83 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 40.65 | $0.890 | $36.18 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | sell | 154.37 | $0.630 | $97.25 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | buy | 300 | $0.630 | $189.15 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.532 | $266.14 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | sell | 99 | $0.800 | $79.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | buy | 294 | $0.170 | $49.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.663 | $132.59 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?No | buy | 200 | $0.664 | $132.75 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?No | buy | 145.19 | $0.489 | $71.04 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.625 | $624.55 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Yes | buy | 13.98 | $0.200 | $2.8 | Mar 29, 2026 |