Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.5% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 1 May 2026. $3.71K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 1:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 26.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Peremiriya | Yes | 492.92 |
| Colala | Yes | 30 |
| daroghi | Yes | 25 |
| Fracker | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Citrini Research confirms that Citrini Analyst #3 has physically entered the Middle East by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Entering the Middle East is defined as entrance into the terrestrial or maritime territory of any of the following countries/territories: Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Yemen, Oman, Bahrain, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Jordan, West Bank, Gaza Strip, Iraq, Turkey (Türkiye), Iran, Egypt. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Citrini Research.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/citrini-analyst-3-returns-to-the-middle-east-in-april
| 33dsadadsa | Yes | 7.2 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
| xlendaa | Yes | 0.1 |
| Rapid Voyager 74B9 | No | 0.01 |
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