Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 9% on 14 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 11.5% on 30 Dec 2025 and the low 0.9% on 6 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.9 points down, to 2.1% on 3 Jan 2026. $2.85K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 51 points · 14 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | 9.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ProbablyPomPom | Yes | 71.99 |
| betmaker23454 | Yes | 60.06 |
| paas2 | Yes | 30 |
| SUKAHLUHA | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that American International Group (AIG) Insurance will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Chubb Insurance, or vice versa, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Chubb or AIG will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Chubb or AIG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chubb-and-aig-merger-announced-by-january-31
| LoveTheGoodOdds | Yes | 14.17 |
| Impure-Contour | Yes | 10.86 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 9.95 |
| Crimson Atlas D1BD | Yes | 5 |
| Etyklqq | Yes | 2.6 |
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