Analytics
Yes is at 75%, up 25 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
The high was 89.5% on 5 Oct 2026 and the low 41% on 14 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 87%; a month ago, 65.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 75% on 6 Oct 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Pro Football: Christian Watson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns”.
$163.59 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $27.31, with a 47.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Train9040 with 112 shares; the largest No position is pootytherewardfarmer with 68.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 114 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 12:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 57 points · 12 Aug 2026 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 75.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Train9040 | Yes | 112 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 68 |
| Robbb | Yes | 51.59 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Christian Watson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 4.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Christian Watson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Christian Watson recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/christian-watson-receiving-touchdowns-2026-27
| extractive-manatee |
| No |
| 44 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 21 |
| Coral Summit 331B | No | 20 |
| rette33 | No | 10.59 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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