Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.2%. Yes opened at 16% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 131 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 16.5% on 22 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.6% on 9 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 9.5% on 25 Dec 2024. $2.84K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 8:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 131 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 16.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 2.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ill-Intervention | Yes | 71.43 |
| rawatsuraj792 | Yes | 5.88 |
| ademy | Yes | 0.11 |
On December 19, Donald Trump described Chip Roy as a "very unpopular “Congressman”", during ongoing negotiations to pass a government funding bill (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113681162508337560). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chip Roy announces that he will not seek reelection to Congress, announces that he will resign from his position as a U.S. congressman, or otherwise ceases to be a U.S. congressman for any length of time, between December 18, 2024 and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement that he will not seek reelection or of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down or runs again. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Chip Roy or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chip-roy-announce-he-wont-seek-reelection-by-trumps-first-100-days
| hjhjfhfg | No | 0.09 |
| MysticLight | No | 0.01 |
| hui228 | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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