Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 37%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 2 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2026 to 3 Apr 2026, the highest close was 37.5% on 2 Apr 2026 and the lowest 37% on 3 Apr 2026. $3.71K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 10:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 2 Apr 2026 – 3 Apr 2026, chart shows 32%–44%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 37.5% |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 873.4 |
| CircuitBoardA | No | 79.13 |
| Lavincey | No | 50.64 |
| bolsaverse | No | 49.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chess-fcarua-mblueb-2026-04-03
| Gagalabu2 | No | 30 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 11.02 |
| paspor | No | 4.87 |
| sirmisterk | No | 2.3 |
| korda77 | No | 1.67 |
| rabmo2 | No | 0.28 |
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