Question 1

What is the “ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 30, 2024 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

On June 10 Apple announced at its developer conference that it would integrate ChatGPT into its devices on iOS 18 (see https://www.theverge.com/2024/6/10/24174786/apple-openai-partnership-chatgpt-wwdc). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple integrates ChatGPT (or another OpenAI large language model product) into the iPhone by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes"; only the release of the described integration will trigger a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($77.07K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 12 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 2, 6:10 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/chatgpt-integration-with-iphones-before-october) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC	0.3%	0.3%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC	0.5%	0.5%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC	0.5%	0.5%

ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?

Questions about this market