Analytics
Resolved Duquesne on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Duquesne at 80.5%. The Wagner side opened at 50% on 13 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 14.5% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 14.5% on 19 Oct 2026. $3.44K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 4:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Wagner price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Wagner price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| uniform.cougar01 | Wagner | 766.18 |
| RN1 | Wagner | 376.33 |
| RollAwayTheDew | Wagner | 225 |
| grandculp | Wagner | 106 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game between Wagner and Duquesne, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wagner" if Wagner win the game. This market will resolve to "Duquesne" if Duquesne win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-wag-duq-2026-10-24
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| pjotrekkk | Wagner | 53 |
| 0alpha | Wagner | 47.18 |
| Pricey-Spine | Wagner | 44 |
| Misty Horizon 837A | Wagner | 37 |
| qwewqqeq | Wagner | 30 |
| Cosmic Pulse EFEE | Wagner | 16.8 |
