Analytics
Resolved SMU on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had SMU at 75.5%. The Virginia side opened at 42.5% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 57.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 26% on 12 Oct 2026. $95.03K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 7:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Virginia price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026
| Observed | Virginia price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 42.5% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Virginia | 37.47K |
| RN1 | Virginia | 5.44K |
| Markram | Virginia | 2.2K |
In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and SMU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-vir-smu-2026-10-17
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| SunflowaRebuildYear | Virginia | 2.13K |
| AnonymousUsername | Virginia | 2.09K |
| BSDDBEDFBER | Virginia | 1.48K |
| omnibus-076daa | Virginia | 1.12K |
| Scotty155 | Virginia | 874 |
| UpTheBlues | Virginia | 273 |
| 13897651 | Virginia | 240 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
