Analytics
Resolved San Diego State on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had San Diego State at 68.5%. The Texas State side opened at 50% on 22 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 22 Sep 2026 and the low 11.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 17% on 29 Sep 2026. $8.4K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 6:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Texas State price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 22 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026
| Observed | Texas State price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| primm | Texas State | 6.12K |
| AmericaFirst1 | Texas State | 300.21 |
| UpTheBlues | Texas State | 170 |
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Diego State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-txst-sdst-2026-10-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rugmoney | Texas State | 152.2 |
| BOB6633 | Texas State | 61.22 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
