Analytics
Resolved Michigan State on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Michigan State at 65%. The Toledo side opened at 34% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 2 Sep 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 35% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 30% on 3 Sep 2026. $76.64K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 5, 11:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Toledo price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Toledo price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 34.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Voyager 7F72 | Toledo | 1.44K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Toledo | 656.87 |
| guskoven | Toledo | 178.57 |
| Painfulvoid | Toledo | 90 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the fourth quarter of the college football game between Toledo and Michigan State, scheduled for September 4 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo outscore Michigan State in the fourth quarter. This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State outscore Toledo in the fourth quarter. If both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, this market will resolve 50-50. Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-toledo-mst-2026-09-04
| RadioFreeZerg | Toledo | 35.6 |
| grandeYdesagradable | Toledo | 17.88 |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind | Toledo | 17.72 |
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