Analytics
Resolved Michigan State on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Michigan State at 78.5%. The Toledo side opened at 21% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 2 Sep 2026 and the lowest 21% on 26 Aug 2026. $474.22K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 3:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Toledo price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 16%–28%
| Observed | Toledo price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 21.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Scotty155 | Toledo | 4.16K |
| sentrio | Toledo | 2.76K |
| CAcap | Toledo | 2K |
| JeremyWade | Toledo | 1.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 4 at 8:00PM ET: If Toledo wins, the market will resolve to "Toledo". If Michigan State wins, the market will resolve to "Michigan State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-toledo-mst-2026-09-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Cobalt Orbit E9D9 | Toledo | 1.04K |
| Violet Maven 3DA3 | Toledo | 846.77 |
| SDASDASCNFGNFD | Toledo | 791.58 |
| hi774c | Toledo | 497.42 |
| St-Qc | Toledo | 466 |
| HouseGrapper | Toledo | 361 |
