Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 25 Sep 2026 to 3 Oct 2026, the highest close was 54% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 31% on 2 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 31% on 2 Oct 2026. $7.06 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 3:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 25 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech, scheduled for October 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market is one outcome in a neg-risk group covering every margin of victory. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pittsburgh win the game by 19 to 24 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin is the final score difference. Exactly one outcome in the group resolves "Yes"; if the game ends in a tie, the group's Tie outcome resolves "Yes" (or, absent a Tie outcome, the group resolves 50-50). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-pitt-vtech-2026-10-02-exact-margin
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