Analytics
The Oregon side is at 74.5%, up 25 points from 50% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Oregon side was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 73.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 214 markets under “Oregon vs. Illinois”.
$267 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.38K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Oregon position is nigiri99 with 267 shares; the largest Illinois position is 38791873984189 with 242.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 2:16 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Oregon price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Oregon price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 74.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | Oregon | 267 |
| 38791873984189 | Illinois | 242 |
| Pan9X | Illinois | 20 |
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Illinois". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-ore-ill-2026-10-24
202 more markets, none above 64.0%.
| RadioFreeZerg |
| Illinois |
| 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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