Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 25 Sep 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 49% on 29 Sep 2026. $2.06 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Sep 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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In the upcoming college football game between North Texas and Tulsa, scheduled for October 1 at 9:00 PM ET: This market is one outcome in a neg-risk group covering every margin of victory. This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Texas win the game by 7 to 12 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin is the final score difference. Exactly one outcome in the group resolves "Yes"; if the game ends in a tie, the group's Tie outcome resolves "Yes" (or, absent a Tie outcome, the group resolves 50-50). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-ntx-tulsa-2026-10-01-exact-margin
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