Analytics
The Michigan side is at 56.5%, up 6.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 50% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Michigan side was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 56% on 3 Nov 2026.
It is one of 214 markets under “Michigan State vs. Michigan”.
$10 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.89K, with a 9.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Michigan position is HomeRunHazard with 10 shares; the largest Michigan State position is mooseborzoi with 10.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 3:08 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Michigan price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Michigan price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 56.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazard | Michigan | 10 |
| mooseborzoi | Michigan State | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Michigan State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-mst-mich-2026-11-07
201 more markets, none above 58.5%.
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