Analytics
Resolved Texas on 25 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Texas at 56%. The Texas side opened at 50% on 13 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 13 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 57.5% on 19 Oct 2026. $500 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 3:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Texas price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Texas price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 56.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ole Miss". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-miss-tx-2026-10-24
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