Analytics
Trading ended on 22 Oct 2026 with the Over side at 50%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the price held at 50%. A week before that last close the Over side was at 50%.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 10:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
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In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and Appalachian State, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if James Madison record 20 or more first downs in this game. This market will resolve to "Under" if James Madison record fewer than 20 first downs. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-jmad-applst-2026-10-22
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