Analytics
Trading ended on 24 Oct 2026 with the Arizona side at 72.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72.5% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Arizona side was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 72.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
It is one of 169 markets under “Iowa State vs. Arizona”.
$24.37K has traded since listing.
The largest Arizona position is Wordy-Littleneck with 22.2K shares; the largest Iowa State position is KaneAnalytics with 22.2K.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 2:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Arizona price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Arizona price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
156 more markets, none above 81.0%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wordy-Littleneck | Arizona | 22.22K |
| KaneAnalytics | Iowa State | 22.22K |
| 38791873984189 | Iowa State | 1.2K |
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game by 21 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iowa State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-iowast-arz-2026-10-24
| SunflowaRebuildYear | Arizona | 600 |
| antec | Arizona | 400 |
| justaluckydude | Arizona | 253 |
| Pan9X | Iowa State | 208 |
| TimeTraveler | Iowa State | 200 |
| UpTheBlues | Arizona | 191 |
| ferdinand2 | Arizona | 93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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