Analytics
Resolved Hawai'i on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Hawai'i at 50.5%. The Hawai'i side opened at 50% on 13 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 13 Oct 2026. $54.38K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 10:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Hawai'i price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Hawai'i price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Northern Illinois | 9.89K |
| MAGATheeStallion | Northern Illinois | 3.77K |
| betabot | Northern Illinois | 1.89K |
| Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir | Northern Illinois |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Northern Illinois". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-hawaii-nill-2026-10-24
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 1.17K |
| UpTheBlues | Northern Illinois | 1.08K |
| DonnieDarko73253 | Northern Illinois | 55.91 |
| Sane-Lookout | Northern Illinois | 40 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Northern Illinois | 39.43 |
| HomeRunHazard | Northern Illinois | 15.2 |
| kostyatech | Northern Illinois | 10.42 |
