Analytics
Resolved Arizona State on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Arizona State at 91.5%. The Hawai'i side opened at 16.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 11 Oct 2026, the highest close was 18% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 5 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 6.5% on 5 Oct 2026. $123.48K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 6:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Hawai'i price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Hawai'i price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 16.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Scotty155 | Hawai'I | 6.47K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Hawai'I | 3.19K |
| Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir | Hawai'I | 1.47K |
| NUTBUSTER42069 | Hawai'I | 1.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game between Hawai'i and Arizona State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-hawaii-arzst-2026-10-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Frizzy-Mobile | Hawai'I | 1.01K |
| attempt-most | Hawai'I | 495.6 |
| Violet Atlas F242 | Hawai'I | 340.14 |
| Md54941 | Hawai'I | 321 |
| neutralwave23 | Hawai'I | 264.5 |
| Oddstorm | Hawai'I | 262.92 |
