Analytics
Resolved San Diego State on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had San Diego State at 42%. The Fresno State side opened at 50% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 18 Oct 2026, the highest close was 67% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 67% on 12 Oct 2026. $762.91 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 5:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Fresno State price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–75%
| Observed | Fresno State price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| superlxj | Fresno State | 125 |
| TimeTraveler | Fresno State | 100 |
| TinaGoat | Fresno State | 32.28 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Fresno State | 19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Diego State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-frest-sdst-2026-10-17
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Liquid-Leaf-Nun | Fresno State | 5 |
| antec | Fresno State | 5 |
