Analytics
The Virginia side is at 49.5%, about where the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Virginia side was at 49.5%.
It is one of 214 markets under “Duke vs. Virginia”.
$2.8K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.3K since listing. The order book holds $312.27K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Virginia position is Forecastication2 with 2.6K shares; the largest Duke position is hi774c with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 97.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 8:40 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Virginia price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 42%–54%
| Observed | Virginia price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Forecastication2 | Virginia | 2.61K |
| hi774c | Duke | 2.54K |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Virginia | 586.54 |
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Duke". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-duke-vir-2026-10-23
201 more markets, none above 54.5%.
| Azure Pulse 72FE | Duke | 576.92 |
| jonesy91 | Duke | 451.14 |
| RollAwayTheDew | Virginia | 228.14 |
| 38791873984189 | Virginia | 208 |
| ptf-taiwan | Duke | 128 |
| CAcap | Duke | 88.55 |
| antec | Virginia | 86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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