Analytics
The Duke side is at 45.5%, up 10 points from 35.5% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Duke side was at 49%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 48.5% on 14 Oct 2026.
It is one of 214 markets under “Duke vs. Virginia”.
$50.05K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $52.14K since listing. The order book holds $416.16K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $10.65K bought Duke and $15.36K bought Virginia; the largest was a $7.88K buy of Virginia at 55.2¢.
The largest Duke position is mooseborzoii with 11K shares; the largest Virginia position is alandestroy with 14.3K. Ten wallets hold 87.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 8:22 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Duke price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Duke price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 35.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alandestroy | Virginia | 14.28K |
| mooseborzoii | Duke | 11K |
| lightotunnel35 | Duke | 10K |
In the upcoming college football game between Duke and Virginia, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-duke-vir-2026-10-23
201 more markets, none above 54.5%.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Duke | 8.9K |
| Zzzz87 | Virginia | 5.51K |
| ChampGamp | Virginia | 5.4K |
| AnonymousUsername | Virginia | 2.55K |
| Herdonia | Virginia | 1.84K |
| ferdinand2 | Duke | 1.67K |
| NM-P | Virginia | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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