Analytics
Resolved UNLV on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had UNLV at 54.5%. The California side opened at 50% on 22 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2026 to 3 Oct 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 47% on 28 Sep 2026. $316.74K traded over the market's life.
138 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 11:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the California price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 22 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | California price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir | California | 22.92K |
| one8tyfive | California | 15K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | California | 6.21K |
| Scotty155 | California |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game between California and UNLV, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-cah-unlv-2026-10-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 3.38K |
| alandestroy | California | 2.86K |
| ns9z | California | 1.02K |
| Herdonia | California | 862.85 |
| ic4cream | California | 787 |
| AmericaFirst1 | California | 747 |
| Cheap-Founder-Pin | California | 541.67 |
