Analytics
Resolved SMU on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had SMU at 50.5%. The SMU side opened at 51.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 24 Oct 2026. $24.19K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 7:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the SMU price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | SMU price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mooseborzoii | California | 9.99K |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | California | 1.14K |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind | California | 400 |
| Techn9ne | California | 99.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game by 19 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-cah-smu-2026-10-24
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| antec | California | 63.82 |
| .Menthe | California | 50 |
| TheRomanProcurator | California | 36.16 |
| a5533 | California | 20 |
| iiiuj76 | California | 5 |
| Oleksandr9 | California | 2 |
