Analytics
Resolved Arizona on 10 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Arizona at 61.5%. The Arizona side opened at 50% on 29 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2026 to 10 Oct 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 45% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 58% on 5 Oct 2026. $181.05K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 7:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Arizona price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 29 Sep 2026 – 10 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–65%
| Observed | Arizona price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Maven 3DA3 | West Virginia | 3.08K |
| GamblingAddict12345 | West Virginia | 2.56K |
| X2024 | West Virginia | 1.71K |
In the upcoming college football game between Arizona and West Virginia, scheduled for October 10 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. This market will resolve to "West Virginia" if West Virginia win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-arz-wvir-2026-10-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| dwedwd | West Virginia | 582.63 |
| poshposh | West Virginia | 344.13 |
| hi774c | West Virginia | 317.68 |
| AnonymousUsername | West Virginia | 287.46 |
| brickwater | West Virginia | 272.59 |
| Neon Kestrel 2504 | West Virginia | 250 |
| Vigilant-Environment | West Virginia | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
