Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 27 Jun 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.7% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 7 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 47.9% on 16 Jun 2026. $14.7K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 41.5% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hopolopop | Yes | 726.85 |
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 500.47 |
| akko123 | Yes | 500 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cap's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cap (https://x.com/capmoney_) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cap-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 259.2 |
| MukMuk11 | Yes | 240.2 |
| xlb0369 | Yes | 191.46 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| prefox28 | Yes | 77.02 |
| 0xairzz | Yes | 69.35 |
| ttj01 | Yes | 42.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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