Analytics
Yes is at 48%, up 23 points from 25% when the market opened on 7 Oct 2026.
Across the 17 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17% on 9 Oct 2026. The current quote, 48%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 47.5% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 35.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 41.5% on 10 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Canza FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$104 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.05K since listing. The order book holds $315.39, with a 28.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 69 trades, $397.22 bought Yes and $586.89 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 247 shares; the largest No position is iamfinethankyouandyou with 99.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 7:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 25.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | Yes | 247.26 |
| iamfinethankyouandyou | No | 98.68 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 33.69 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Canza's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Canza after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Canza (https://x.com/Canza_Finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canza-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| julcia | No | 29.71 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20.18 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 20 |
| hfv | No | 20 |
| fi5h | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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