Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47% on 2 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2025 to 12 Nov 2025, the highest close was 62% on 3 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 0.1% on 12 Nov 2025. $53.68K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 13, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 2 Nov 2025 – 12 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | 47.0% |
| 12 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thetadog | Yes | 6.4K |
| wangzhe | Yes | 2K |
| ameertpm | Yes | 1K |
| FreeCityIndividual | Yes | 954.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Canton's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Canton doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canton-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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