Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 28 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2024 to 11 Sep 2024, the highest close was 4.3% on 28 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 11 Sep 2024. $71.47K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 3:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 28 Aug 2024 – 11 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2024 | 4.3% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| johnhenry | Yes | 1.5K |
| ER02CB | Yes | 568.91 |
| ER01MM | Yes | 315.63 |
| Sandy-Journalist | Yes | 0.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the candidates are seated for the ABC-hosted presidential debate, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the September 10, 2024, debate is postponed, this market will apply to the first ABC-hosted presidential debate that occurs before the 2024 election. If no ABC-hosted presidential debate occurs before the 2024 election this market will resolve to "No". The candidate's will be considered “seated” if at least one of the candidates is provided with a chair from which they can conduct debate. Candidates choosing to stand up or sit down during the debate will not affect the resolution of the market. The resolution source will be the official debate broadcast and information from ABC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/candidates-seated-at-abc-debate
| nenetiba1973 | No | 0.59 |
| deudebalci1987 | No | 0.51 |
| rietezamer1971 | No | 0.49 |
| twormaitarhay1986 | No | 0.49 |
| atsuptiwork1973 | No | 0.33 |
| culniracha1970 | No | 0.33 |
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