Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 18 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2025 to 3 Jun 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 18 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 3 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 0.3% on 3 Jun 2025. $19.05K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 18 Mar 2025 – 3 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2025 | 39.5% |
| 3 Jun 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gambler5000 | Yes | 1.89K |
| vainyska | Yes | 30.3 |
| Larrybird | Yes | 19.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney recently announced he would be reviewing the order of 88 F-35 fighters the country had ordered in 2023 due to the changing diplomatic environment with the United States. https://apnews.com/article/f35-canada-trump-0d3bf192d3490d87570d48475ff2c3a6 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada officially announces either a reduction in or the total cancellation of their order of Lockheed Martin F-35 fighters from the United States between March 16 and May 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Canada must confirm via announcement that they are reducing or cancelling their order. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement to this effect, regardless of later developments. If Canada imposes contingencies upon which a full order will be restored, this market will still resolve to "Yes", so long as Canada announces it is officially reducing its order.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-backs-out-of-f-35-deal
| Yes |
| 17.86 |
| ARN89 | Yes | 10 |
| Plush-Overload | Yes | 3.7 |
| Rickusus | Yes | 2.78 |
| GaySanta | No | 0.02 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 0.01 |
| 30XA | No | 0.01 |
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