Analytics
The Up side is at 50.5%, about where the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the price held at 50.5%.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $6.36K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Up position is Kishlack.inc with 5 shares; the largest Down position is Busy-Reality-Earring with 5.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 4:06 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kishlack.inc | Up | 5 |
| Busy-Reality-Earring | Down | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-5m-1792742100
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