Analytics
The Up side is at 32% on Polymarket.
$14.1K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $6.76K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 195 trades, $2.82K bought Up and $1.43K bought Down; the largest was a $1.24K sell of Up at 59.5¢.
The largest Up position is Frivolous-Insurance with 1.6K shares; the largest Down position is justdance with 1.5K. Ten wallets hold 77.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 6:36 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 26%–36%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | 31.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Frivolous-Insurance | Up | 1.59K |
| justdance | Down | 1.45K |
| almach | Down | 400.01 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-4h-1793030400
| 358358 |
| Up |
| 400 |
| Arianitt | Up | 400 |
| nicheniche | Up | 363.96 |
| adadmadmsadmsadmskadmskadmskadmskwadmsk | Down | 350.25 |
| mo-money | Down | 332.65 |
| Bonereaper | Up | 262.44 |
| Glittering-Cupcake | Down | 147.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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