Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

cryptoResolved

Down, settled Oct 22, 2026 UTC

0.0%

Down

100.0%

Final Up 0¢Final Down 100¢

Lifetime volume

$9.7K

Resolved

Down

Settled

Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Down on 22 Oct 2026.

The last price read before settlement had Down at 62%. The Up side was at 50% at 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 4 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 50% on 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 38% on 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $9.7K traded over the market's life.

29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 3:37 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

6-hour closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 35%–55%

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
21 Oct, 06:00 UTC	50.0%
22 Oct, 06:00 UTC	38.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
suman3xx	Up	772.19
Frivolous-Insurance	Up	691.5
aosdijf	Up	575
Organic-Smuggling	Up	450.48

10 of 29 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-4h-1792641600

Dates

Event starts

Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Oct 22, 2026 UTC