Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 100%; no result has been reported.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2024 to 11 Jan 2024, the highest close was 99.5% on 11 Jan 2024 and the lowest 38.5% on 10 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 99.5% on 11 Jan 2024.
$12.76K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is 333333333333 with 1 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 6.2K.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 8:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Jan 2024 – 11 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2024 | 38.5% |
| 11 Jan 2024 | 99.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.19K |
| Dino511 | No | 100 |
| 333333333333 | Yes | 0.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT: If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC according to Coinbase BTC-USD is between $45,000.01 and $47,500.00 (inclusive) 1 hour after first Bitcoin spot ETF approval is officially announced. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Coinbase BTC-USD, specifically the 1 minute candle close price one hour after the approval announcement. If the first Bitcoin spot ETF is not approved by January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-1hr-after-etf-approval
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