
Resolved No on 21 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 27% on 17 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2024 to 21 Dec 2024, the highest close was 27% on 17 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 21 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 13.5% on 18 Dec 2024. $175.12K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 2:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Dec 2024 – 21 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2024 | 27.0% |
| 21 Dec 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LoraK | Yes | 3.55K |
| mango0x | Yes | 2.3K |
| Viennabora | Yes | 853 |
| LuntikTrader0 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin dominance is below 50.8% on December 20, 2024, 00:00:00 GMT, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the CoinGecko "Bitcoin (BTC) Dominance Chart" (https://www.coingecko.com/en/global-charts#:~:text=The%20global%20cryptocurrency%20market%20cap,a%20Bitcoin%20dominance%20of%2053.77%25.) set to 7d. If this chart is unavailable at resolution time and remains down through December 25, 2024, 00:00:00 GMT, or otherwise becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/btc-dominance-down-by-friday
| Plump-Lizard | Yes | 38.46 |
| CookieDowJones | Yes | 0.36 |
| rentor | No | 0.05 |
| phrasosesjis1979 | No | 0.04 |
| Golden Raven FD01 | No | 0.01 |
| ijhgiwu5641 | No | 0.01 |
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