
Resolved Yes on 18 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87%. Yes opened at 85.5% on 11 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2024 to 18 Jun 2024, the highest close was 91.5% on 15 Jun 2024 and the lowest 77.5% on 13 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 86.5% on 14 Jun 2024. $6.29K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 19, 2:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 11 Jun 2024 – 18 Jun 2024, chart shows 70%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2024 | 85.5% |
| 18 Jun 2024 | 87.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TYUTIYUI | Yes | 0.02 |
| JDRXGXCG | Yes | 0.02 |
| IUTYRIRYU | Yes | 0.01 |
| YUIYTUOIUPOTUI | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin BTC-USDT between 2024/06/10 00:00 and 2024/07/31 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price of 64,999.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC-USDT "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” candles selected on the top bar. To see the "Low" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "Low" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC-USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-btc-dip-below-before-august
| elPolloLoco | No | 0.01 |
| NMFGDXCV | Yes | 0.01 |
| GFRTCVD | Yes | 0.01 |
| FGYHDGJHG | Yes | 0.01 |
| KJFDRDFG | Yes | 0.01 |
| UYOITYUR | Yes | 0.01 |
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