What is the “$BTC dips below $50k before August?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: $BTC dips below $50k before August? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What price will $BTC dip below before August?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 1 Aug 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

13 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-btc-dip-below-before-august) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: $BTC dips below $50k before August?

Market referencebtc-dips-below-50k-before-augustUpdated Aug 2, 2024 UTC

cryptoResolved

No · settled Aug 1, 2024 UTCbitcoinbtc

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$420.1K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 2, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Aug 2, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

27.17K / 1.25

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

269

Loaded notional

$215.05K

Yes buy at 0.5%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-17 pts

Range

0.1% - 42.0%

Jun 11, 12:00 AM UTC to Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC	0.4%	0.4%
Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC	0.9%	0.9%

What price will $BTC dip below before August?

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Bitcoin Price oddsHow high, and how low, do traders expect Bitcoin to go?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “$BTC dips below $50k before August?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: $BTC dips below $50k before August? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What price will $BTC dip below before August?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 1 Aug 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: qqqqqqqq
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?: 13 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC

0.1%

Jul 31, 12:00 AM UTC

0.4%

Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC

0.9%