$BTC dips below $40k before October?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Oct 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$780.0K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 1, 2024 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 31 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 31 Aug 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 8.3% on 7 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Sep 2024. $779.96K traded over the market's life.

73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 11:56 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 31 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Aug 2024	5.5%
1 Oct 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Sniper123	Yes	29.6K
dailydoseofinternet	Yes	5.15K
gambleman	Yes	827.15
Mind7	Yes	719

10 of 73 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin BTC-USDT between 2024/08/30 10:00 and 2024/09/30 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price of 39,999.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC-USDT "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” candles selected on the top bar. To see the "Low" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "Low" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC-USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.