Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2024 to 7 Dec 2024, the highest close was 28.5% on 5 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.5% on 7 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 1.5% on 7 Dec 2024. $29.04K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 6:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 Dec 2024 – 7 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 28.5% |
| 7 Dec 2024 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Adrestia666 | Yes | 200 |
| Iceburg225 | Yes | 100.74 |
| MyName1 | Yes | 92.38 |
| Player87 | Yes | 32.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by 11:59 PM ET on December 6, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brian-thompson-perp-arrested-by-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Nick-B | Yes | 14.8 |
| PL69420 | No | 13.7 |
| benoity | Yes | 0.13 |
| feshkit | Yes | 0.04 |
| yoyoyoyoyoyoy | No | 0.02 |
| Stoop | No | 0.02 |
