Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 6 Mar 2026, the highest close was 21.5% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.6 points down, to 2.5% on 6 Mar 2026.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 11:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 6 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 21.5% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Pioneer 5D20 | Yes | 5K |
| nbabii | Yes | 5K |
| acal | Yes | 300 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Block Street's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Block Street (https://x.com/BlockSt_HQ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/block-street-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
| 0xleo888 | Yes | 100 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 75 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 50 |
| dfbgsvs | No | 8.01 |
| Only-Cork | No | 0.02 |
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