Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31%. Yes opened at 47% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 25 Feb 2026 and the lowest 31% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 34% on 1 Mar 2026. $28.49K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 4:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 25%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 47.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Punisher2022 | No | 753.49 |
| DT9 | No | 488.73 |
| MartyMcFox | No | 306.4 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 283.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between 1. FC Nürnberg and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fcn-dus-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Zany-Sprinter | No | 101.05 |
| ganjubas22 | No | 62.51 |
| Sparkling-Rope | No | 39.98 |
| Inferior-Role | No | 30 |
| daroghi | No | 30 |
| Lavincey | No | 29 |
