Analytics
The Up side is at 36.5% on Polymarket.
$9.71K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.79K since listing. The order book holds $45.34K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 335 trades, $1.98K bought Up and $1.92K bought Down.
The largest Up position is kingofcoinflips with 2.6K shares; the largest Down position is ComTruise with 1.8K. Ten wallets hold 74.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 10:08 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kingofcoinflips | Up | 2.63K |
| ComTruise | Down | 1.78K |
| Niseko | Down | 600.39 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-27-2026
| vedaresearch.btc |
| Down |
| 596.81 |
| blancnoirchat | Up | 500 |
| Pointed-Shack | Up | 493.94 |
| Impressive-Steak | Down | 490.34 |
| luckyandPluckyCar | Down | 404.03 |
| Indigo Raven 8243 | Up | 400 |
| JBHYDRA | Up | 349.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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